Modelling the mental health impacts of COVID-19

Applying the Springtides model to predict the potential mental health burden of COVID-19.

Combined Springtides and University of Sydney model predictions

One of the preliminary applications of the Springtides model was to provide initial predictions, early in the COVID-19 pandemic about the potential mental health impacts of the pandemic in the absence of government intervention. That original analysis was undertaken in May 2020 in collaboration with colleagues at the University of Sydney and was subject to media coverage, both at the time and in December 2020.

Code-libraries and datasets for Springtides will be publicly released in the future, but a brief overview of the modelling approach is described from the 55 minute mark of the below webinar.